Welcome to the NBA DFS Triple Threat here at Paydirt! This is going to be a daily article aimed at giving thoughts on three important aspects of the NBA DFS slate. We will talk through the most popular players on the slate, popular roster construction, and potential pivots and leverage spots. This article is best used with the projections models here at Paydirt (Found here), but it will still be valuable even as a one off piece of content. While the focus is on Draftkings, the content is applicable to Fanduel as well. Costs, Projections, and finishing percentiles format will be Draftkings/Fanduel.
Main Points
- The highest-owned players for tonight’s games are projected to be Norman Powell, Andre Drummond, Kawhi Leonard, Ivica Zubac, and James Harden. Notably, Zion/Ingram/CJ are all questionable for the Pelicans on the 2nd half of a B2B. Additionally, Anthony Edwards and Gobert are questionable for the T-Wolves.
- A popular roster construction tonight will likely include 2 value players complemented by 4 mid-range players and 2 stars. Ownership on the high end is concentrated heavily on Kawhi, Harden, and Scottie Barnes. At the premium tier, it’s Luka and AD. Based on this, spending up on Jokic, Sabonis, Lebron, or Donovan Mitchell seems like a good option on the high end.
- Players such as Myles Turner, Herbert Jones, and Russell Westbrook are intriguing GPP plays. Additionally, value plays such as Kelly Olynyk, Gary Trent Jr., and Ziaire Williams look like potential pivot opportunities.
Depending on the size of the slate, there may be multiple situations, value plays, and popular options that you need to consider. Join the Paydirt discord with this link for more updates and game theory on all the slates details: https://discord.gg/mQ6u5dfawF
NBA DFS Cash Game Core:
This core of players will help you build a strong foundation in cash games. While it is best to use all these players, it’s not a requirement
Jordan Goodwin
Norman Powell
Kawhi Leonard
Andre Drummond
Ivica Zubac
NBA DFS GPP Core:
This core of players will help you build in differentiation in your lineups. These players are meant to be mixed in with some of the stronger chalk options. How many of these players you put in is dependent on the size of the field and personal risk tolerance.
Ziaire Williams (Value)
Caris LeVert (Midrange)
Myles Turner (Midrange)
Lebron James (Stud)
Nikola Jokic (Premium)
NBA DFS Final Thoughts
The popular build tonight is going to be focused on a core of Norman Powell/Andre Drummond/Jordan Goodwin paired with Kawhi and/or Harden. Thankfully, this makes it easy to get different tonight. There are leverage spots by playing lower-owned teammates on the Grizzlies and Bulls. Additionally, people appear to be completely ignoring the Lakers side of the LAC/LAL game. Furthermore, you can focus on the lower-owned spend-ups such as Jokic and Sabonis. The Paydirt models are heavy on LAC/CHI/TOR as spots to target with secondary exposure to the Wolves and Nuggets. Good luck and let’s bake some bread!
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