NHL DFS Algo Orientation: DFS Picks and Plays

NHL DFS Slate Analysis

This is an algorithmically generated breakdown of the NHL DFS main slate using the models found at Paydirt. You’ll get high level information about the most valuable players on the slate along with a handy table to use for your own lineups. For more projections and model data check out the NHL DFS Range of Outcomes and the NHL Contest Simulations.

Ceiling Data Breakdown

TB FL1: With a ceiling of 77.54 fantasy points and a salary of $19900, TB FL1 represents a high-priced but potentially high-reward option. Their Top_finish percentage is 32%, suggesting they have a reasonable chance of being the highest scoring line. Additionally, their 2x% is 43.8%, indicating a moderate probability of scoring more than twice their salary in fantasy points. They also have a projected ownership of 37.41%.
TOR FL1: TOR FL1 has a slightly higher salary at $21200 but a lower ceiling of 68.02. Their Top_finish percentage is 15.8%, and their 2x% is 19.9%, both lower than TB FL1.
BOS FL1: Priced at a salary of $20300, BOS FL1 boasts a ceiling of 67.68 and a Top_finish of 15.2%. Their 2x% is 24.4%, slightly higher than TOR FL1, and their projected ownership is 27.72%.
TB FL2: With a salary of $17800 and a ceiling of 63.5, TB FL2 offers a slightly cheaper option with still significant upside. Their Top_finish is 8.6%, and their 2x% is 33.2%, suggesting a decent chance of exceeding value based on their salary. Their projected ownership is 28.87%.
TOR FL2: TOR FL2 has a salary of $16800 and a ceiling of 60.34. Their Top_finish is 4.7%, and their 2x% is 28.7%. Their projected ownership is the highest among these five at 30.03%

Value Data Breakdown

Adam Klapka (W, CGY): With the lowest salary of $2500, Klapka has a median projection of 7.75 and a ceiling of 15.5. His 2x% is notably high at 75.1%, suggesting a very strong probability of scoring at least twice his salary in fantasy points. His projected ownership is 9.7%.
Olle Lycksell (W, PHI): Priced at a slightly higher salary of $2700, Lycksell has a median of 7.58 and a ceiling of 15.16. His 2x% is 67%, still indicating a good chance of exceeding value. His projected ownership is 8.1%.
Tyson Kozak (C, BUF): Also with a salary of $2500, Kozak has a median projection of 6.83 and a ceiling of 13.66. His 2x% is 63.8%, making him another potentially valuable low-cost option. His projected ownership is 11.2%.
Rodrigo Abols (C, PHI): Another player at the $2500 salary mark, Abols has a median of 6.63 and a ceiling of 13.26. His 2x% is 61.1%, similar to Kozak, suggesting comparable potential value. His projected ownership is 10.4%.
Zachary Aston-Reese (W, CBJ): With a salary of $2500, Aston-Reese has a median of 6.07 and a ceiling of 12.14. His 2x% is 51.6%, slightly lower than the others in this group but still significant for his price point. His projected ownership is 5.2%

High Owned Data Breakdown

TB FL1 (Anthony Cirelli, Nikita Kucherov, Brandon Hagel): Leading the pack with a projected ownership of 37.41%, This line has a salary of $19900, a median projection of 38.77, and a ceiling of 77.54. Their high ownership reflects their potential to be the top-scoring line, as indicated by their Top_finish of 32%.
TOR FL2 (John Tavares, William Nylander, Pontus Holmberg): With a significant projected ownership of 30.03%, this line has a salary of $16800, a median of 30.17, and a ceiling of 60.34. Their 2x% of 28.7% suggests a reasonable chance of achieving double their salary in fantasy points, contributing to their popularity.
TB FL2 (Brayden Point, Jake Guentzel, Yanni Gourde): This line is also highly owned at 28.87%, with a salary of $17800, a median of 31.75, and a ceiling of 63.5. Their 2x% of 33.2% is attractive to many daily fantasy players looking for strong point production.
BUF FL1 (Alex Tuch, Jordan Greenway, Tage Thompson): This line has a combined projected ownership of 27.8% with a combined salary of $17700. The line’s median projection is 29.9, and the ceiling is 59.8. Their 2x% is 28%, indicating a solid potential for value, likely contributing to their high ownership.
BOS FL1 (David Pastrnak, Pavel Zacha, Morgan Geekie): This line is projected to have an ownership of 27.72%, with a combined salary of 20300, a median of 33.84, and a ceiling of 67.68. Their 2x% of 24.4% still suggests upside, making them a popular choice despite their higher salary.