NHL DFS Algo Orientation: DFS Picks and Plays

NHL DFS Slate Analysis

This is an algorithmically generated breakdown of the NHL DFS main slate using the models found at Paydirt. You’ll get high level information about the most valuable players on the slate along with a handy table to use for your own lineups. For more projections and model data check out the NHL DFS Range of Outcomes and the NHL Contest Simulations.

Ceiling Data Breakdown

TB FL1 (Brayden Point, Nikita Kucherov, Jake Guentzel): This line has a salary of $22600, a floor of 10.1325, a median of 40.53, and a ceiling of 81.06. It has a Top_finish of 25.1%, Top_5_finish of 55.1%, Top_10_finish of 70.9%, and a 50+% of 26.5%. The 2x% is 35.3%, 3x% is 1.8%, and Own is 15.83%.
COL FL1 (Nathan MacKinnon, Artturi Lehkonen, Martin Necas): With a salary of $21900, this line has a floor of 9.7825, a median of 39.13, and a ceiling of 78.26. It has a Top_finish of 16.1%, Top_5_finish of 47.7%, Top_10_finish of 65.2%, and a 50+% of 18.6%. The 2x% is 31.5%, 3x% is 2%, and Own is 18.42%.
WPG FL1 (Mark Scheifele, Kyle Connor, Gabriel Vilardi): This line is priced at $20200 and has a floor of 9.5475, a median of 38.19, and a ceiling of 76.38. It has a Top_finish of 15.2%, Top_5_finish of 45.9%, Top_10_finish of 63.9%, and a 50+% of 18.2%. The 2x% is 39%, 3x% is 4.5%, and Own is 15.92%.
CBJ FL1 (Kirill Marchenko, Dmitri Voronkov, Adam Fantilli): At a salary of $17700, this line has a floor of 8.16, a median of 32.64, and a ceiling of 65.28. It has a Top_finish of 4.1%, Top_5_finish of 26.1%, Top_10_finish of 45.9%, and a 50+% of 4.1%. The 2x% is 37.2%, 3x% is 1.9%, and Own is 11.8%.
WAS FL1 (Tom Wilson, Alex Ovechkin, Dylan Strome): This line has a salary of $21300, a floor of 8.26, a median of 33.04 and a ceiling of 66.08. It has a Top_finish of 5.8%, Top_5_finish of 30.4%, Top_10_finish of 47.2%, and a 50+% of 6.3%. The 2x% is 19% and Own is 10.14%.

Value Data Breakdown

Oliver Bjorkstrand (W, TB): With a salary of $2500 against CAR, Bjorkstrand has a floor of 1.995, a median of 7.98, and a ceiling of 15.96. His 2x% is 75.9%, 3x% is 41.6%, and 4x% is 13.1%, with a projected ownership of 4.49%.
Olle Lycksell (W, PHI): Priced at $2500 against OTT, Lycksell offers a floor of 1.8625, a median of 7.45, and a ceiling of 14.9. His 2x% is 72.4%, 3x% is 33.4%, and 4x% is 7.1%, with a projected ownership of 3.66%.
Patrick Giles (C, SJ): At a salary of $2500 facing NAS, Giles has a floor of 1.75, a median of 7, and a ceiling of 14. He has a 2x% of 66.2%, a 3x% of 26.5%, and a 4x% of 5.1%, with a projected ownership of 5.49%.
Nate Bastian (W, NJ): With a salary of $2500 against CBJ, Bastian’s floor is 1.75, median is 7, and ceiling is 14. His 2x% is 65.1%, 3x% is 26.5%, and 4x% is 5.3%, with a projected ownership of 3.08%.
Collin Graf (W, SJ): Priced at $2500 against NAS, Graf has a floor of 1.6575, a median of 6.63, and a ceiling of 13.26. His 2x% is 61.1% 3x% is 20.1%, and 4x% is 2.2%, with a projected ownership of 2.69%

High Owned Data Breakdown

COL FL1 (Nathan MacKinnon, Artturi Lehkonen, Martin Necas): This line has a salary of $21900 with a high projected ownership of 18.42. It features a floor of 9.7825, a median of 39.13, and a ceiling of 78.26. The line’s Top_finish is 16.1%, Top_5_finish is 47.7%, and Top_10_finish is 65.2%.
WPG FL1 (Mark Scheifele, Kyle Connor, Gabriel Vilardi): This line has a salary of $20200 and a projected ownership of 15.92. The floor is 9.5475, the median is 38.19, and the ceiling is 76.38. The Top_finish is 15.2%, Top_5_finish is 45.9%, and Top_10_finish is 63.9%.
TB FL1 (Brayden Point, Nikita Kucherov, Jake Guentzel): With a salary of $22600, this line has a projected ownership of 15.83. It has a floor of 10.1325, a median of 40.53, and a ceiling of 81.06. The Top_finish is 25.1%, Top_5_finish is 55.1%, and Top_10_finish is 70.9%.
TB FL2 (Oliver Bjorkstrand, Anthony Cirelli, Brandon Hagel): This line, with a salary of $13100, has a projected ownership of 12.76. It shows a floor of 7.115, a median of 28.46, and a ceiling of 56.92. The Top_finish is 1.1%, Top_5_finish is 12.5%, and Top_10_finish is 25.8%.
SJ FL2 (Klim Kostin, William Smith, Macklin Celebrini): This line is priced at $14400 and has a projected ownership of 12.05. It features a floor of 6.34, a median of 25.36, and a ceiling of 50.72. The Top_finish is less than 1%, Top_5_finish is 5.7%, and Top_10_finish is 16.1%.