NHL DFS Algo Orientation: DFS Picks and Plays

NHL DFS Slate Analysis

This is an algorithmically generated breakdown of the NHL DFS main slate using the models found at Paydirt. You’ll get high level information about the most valuable players on the slate along with a handy table to use for your own lineups. For more projections and model data check out the NHL DFS Range of Outcomes and the NHL Contest Simulations.

Ceiling Data Breakdown

COL FL1 (MacKinnon, Lehkonen, Necas): This line is expensive, costing $23700. The line has a high median projection of 44.9. They have a 26.5% chance to be the top finishing line. This line is projected to be 26.44% owned.
TB FL1 (Point, Kucherov, Guentzel): This line costs $22500. They have a median projection of 45.36. This line has a 26.7% chance to be the top finishing line. They are projected to be 25.05% owned.
EDM FL1 (Hyman, Nugent-Hopkins, McDavid): This line has a salary of $19600. They have a median projection of 34.68. This line only has a 6% chance to be the top finishing line. They are projected to be 16.04% owned.
BUF FL1 (Thompson, Peterka, Kulich): This line costs $17500. They have a median projection of 33.42. This line only has a 4.5% chance to be the top finishing line. They are projected to be 13.97% owned.
CBJ FL1 (Marchenko, Voronkov, Fantilli): This line costs $16600. They have a median projection of 32.62. This line only has a 3.3% chance to be the top finishing line. They are projected to be 14.36% owned. This line has a 50% chance of scoring two times their value

Value Data Breakdown

Riley Tufte (W, BOS): With a salary of only $2500, Tufte presents a very cheap option. Although his median projection is low at 7.94, there is still 78.2% chance that he could score two times his value and a 40% chance that he could score three times his value. He has a low projected ownership of 4.82%.
Collin Graf (W, SJ): Priced at $2500, Graf is another value winger. Similar to Tufte, his median projection is 7.41. Graf’s chances of reaching 2x value are 71.2% and his chances of reaching 3x value are 32.9%. He has a projected ownership of around 3.95%.
Zachary Aston-Reese (W, CBJ): At a salary of $2500, Aston-Reese is a cost-effective choice. His median projection is 6.71. There is a 62.7% chance he could score two times his value and a 23.8% chance he could score three times his value. He is projected to be 3.08% owned.
Ozzy Wiesblatt (W, NAS): Also priced at $2500, Wiesblatt offers a budget option. His median projection is 6.80. He has a 63.5% chance of achieving 2x value and a 23.4% chance for 3x value. His projected ownership is approximately 3.18%.
Miles Wood (W, COL): With a slightly higher salary of $2800, Wood still represents a value play. His median projection is 7.23. He has a 61.9% probability of hitting 2x value and 17.3% for 3x value. Wood’s projected ownership is around 3.21%

High Owned Data Breakdown

TB FL1 (Point, Kucherov, Guentzel): This line has a salary of $22500 and a high median projection of 45.36. Their ownership is projected at 25.05%. They have a 0.458 chance of scoring two times their value.
COL FL1 (MacKinnon, Lehkonen, Necas): With a salary of $23700, this line also has a strong median projection of 44.9. They are projected to be 26.44% owned.
CAR FL1 (Rantanen, Aho, Jarvis): This line is priced at $21300 and has a median projection of 36. Their projected ownership is 13.28%.
EDM FL1 (Hyman, Nugent-Hopkins, McDavid): This line costs $19600 and has a median projection of 34.68. They are projected to be 16.04% owned.
BUF FL1 (Thompson, Peterka, Kulich): This line has a salary of $17500 with a median projection of 33.42. Their projected ownership is 13.97%