Welcome to the NBA Macro Minute! This is a short article focused on macro environments and trending players. The goal here is to identify easy spots to focus or remove from slates and make DFS a bit easier.
If you have any questions or comments reach out to me in the discord or over on X for some more discussion
Macro NBA Defensive Stats
- UTA is allowing the most fantasy points per minute at 1.11. Tonight they play IND who is giving up the 3rd most FPPM – expect high ownership in this game.
- The Knick are an absolutely brutal matchup from a fantasy production standpoint so WAS can likely be avoided. However, the Knicks get a boost on the opposite side.
- ATL/MIA and CHI/MIL are two other strong game environments to consider.
Macro NBA Combo Stats
- Dallas is middle of the pack here but the backcourt is thin and they seem committed to Point-Flagg so he makes for an interesting GPP target at low ownership.
- When we consider combined FPPM rates ATL/MIA jumps ahead of the UTA/IND game and will collectively have lower ownership across the board.
- Ownership is likely to get very concentrated but there are numerous places to go that offer fantasy upside so don’t be afraid to be contrarian tonight.
Trending Players
There is a plethora of value tonight so we should expect a lot of stars/scrubs builds. Of note, the top ceiling values are completely devoid of Jazz and Pacers.
If you want to research these dudes yourself, go over to the gamelogs tool and look into their rotations and performances!
Portfolio Analysis Exposures
When you run 1,000 lineups into the portfolio manager and do some filtering, you end up with the above results. Some notes:
- Multiple Pacers popping up but minimal Jazz players on the other side.
- Luka and Cooper Flagg look like priority spend up options.
- Your core tonight is going to be something like 2 Pacers, 1 Bull, and Luka.
Thanks for reading, go grab some trophies.
