NBA DFS Algo Orientation: DFS Picks and Plays

NBA DFS Slate Analysis

This is an algorithmically generated breakdown of the NBA DFS main slate using the models found at Paydirt. You’ll get high level information about the most valuable players on the slate along with a handy table to use for your own lineups. For more projections and model data check out the NBA DFS Range of Outcomes and the NBA Contest Simulations.

Ceiling Data Breakdown

Luka Doncic (PG, LAL) stands out with a projected ceiling of 79.52 at a salary of $12000. His Top_finish percentage is 37% and Top_5_finish is 79%. Despite his high salary, his potential for a top performance is notable.
Giannis Antetokounmpo (PF/C, MIL), priced at $11700, has a ceiling of 76.48 with Top_finish at 29% and Top_5_finish at 74%. These two players represent high-cost, high-ceiling options.
Moving down the salary scale, Cade Cunningham (PG, DET) at $10300 presents a ceiling of 70.49 with a Top_5_finish of 58%. His lower price point compared to Doncic and Antetokounmpo might make him an attractive option if he reaches his ceiling.
Austin Reaves (PG/SG, LAL), with a salary of $7500, offers a ceiling of 63.58 and a surprisingly high Top_5_finish of 30%. His lower salary coupled with decent upside makes him an interesting consideration.
Finally, Stephen Curry (PG, GSW), priced at $9700, has a ceiling of 63.07 and a Top_5_finish of 36%. While his ceiling is lower than the top-priced options, his historical scoring ability cannot be ignored

GPP Data Breakdown

Kevin Huerter (SG/SF, CHI), with a very low salary of $4300, shows an impressive 5x% of 76% and 6x% of 56%. His projected minutes of 29.57 suggest a reasonable opportunity to reach these multipliers.
Similarly, Tre Jones (PG, CHI), priced at $5000, has a strong showing with 5x% at 77% and 6x% at 54%. His projected minutes of 32.82 further enhance his potential value.
Cole Anthony (PG/SG, ORL), another sub-$5000 player at $4900, has a 5x% of 71% and 6x% of 44%. While his projected minutes are slightly lower at 26.93, his potential to exceed value is still significant.
Karlo Matkovic (PF/C, NOP), with the lowest salary among this group at $4200, has a 5x% of 69% and 6x% of 47%. His projected minutes of 27.86 offer a decent floor for potential upside.
Lastly, Cam Thomas (PG/SF, BKN), priced at $6400, while slightly higher in salary, still presents good GPP potential with a 5x% of 62% and 6x% of 31%

High Owned Data Breakdown

Kevin Huerter (SG/SF, CHI) leads the way with a projected ownership of 74.84%. His low salary of $4300 and high 5x% and 6x% from the GPP data likely contribute to this high ownership.
Cam Thomas (PG/SF, BKN) also has a very high ownership of 56.24% at a salary of $6400. His solid upside potential as seen in the GPP data makes him a popular choice.
Austin Reaves (PG/SG, LAL) is another highly owned player at 51.45% with a salary of $7500. His consistent minutes projection and decent ceiling likely contribute to his popularity.
Coby White (SG/SF, CHI), priced at $7300, has a significant ownership of 38.04%. His projected minutes of 34.34 and potential for a high fantasy score make him a common target.
Finally, Nic Claxton (C, BKN), with a salary of $5200, has an ownership of 32.67%. His reasonable price and potential for rebounds and blocks make him a popular value play