NBA DFS Algo Orientation: DFS Picks and Plays

NBA DFS Slate Analysis

This is an algorithmically generated breakdown of the NBA DFS main slate using the models found at Paydirt. You’ll get high level information about the most valuable players on the slate along with a handy table to use for your own lineups. For more projections and model data check out the NBA DFS Range of Outcomes and the NBA Contest Simulations.

Ceiling Data Breakdown

  • Luka Doncic (PG, LAL): With a salary of $11200, Doncic is projected for 37.95 minutes. His median fantasy score is 53.51, with a ceiling of 73. He has a 54% chance of a top-5 finish and a GPP% of 18.82%.
  • LeBron James (SF/PF, LAL): Priced at $10500, James is projected to play 37.77 minutes. His median projection is 51.36, with a ceiling of 70.8. He has a 49% chance of a top-5 finish and a GPP% of 19.85%.
  • Trae Young (PG, ATL): Young’s salary is $9800, and he’s projected for 36.4 minutes. His median projection is 50.99, with a ceiling of 70.09. He has a 49% chance of a top-5 finish and a GPP% of 15.15%.
  • Jayson Tatum (SF/PF, BOS): With a salary of $10100, Tatum is projected for 34.47 minutes. His median projection is 49.55, with a ceiling of 68.17. He has a 43% chance of a top-5 finish and a GPP% of 24.69%.
  • Alperen Sengun (C, HOU): Sengun has a salary of $9400 and is projected for 33.14 minutes. His median projection is 48, with a ceiling of 66.29. He has a 38% chance of a top-5 finish and a GPP% of 13%

GPP Data Breakdown

  • Jared Butler (PG/SG, PHI): With a very low salary of $3500, Butler is projected for 19.82 minutes. His median projection is 26.88, and he has a 1% chance of a top-10 finish. His GPP% is notably high at 41%. This suggests he could be a high-risk, high-reward option for tournaments.
  • Guerschon Yabusele (PF/C, PHI): Yabusele, priced at $5100, is projected for 32.33 minutes. His median projection is 30.87, and he has a less than 1% Top finish. His GPP% is 24.
  • Payton Pritchard (PG/SG, BOS): At a salary of $5500, Pritchard is projected for 30.79 minutes. His median projection is 34.26, and he has a 3% chance of a top-5 finish. His GPP% is high at 29%, with a 33.72% Own%.
  • Quentin Grimes (PG/SG, PHI): Grimes has a salary of $6100 and is projected for 36.09 minutes. His median projection is 35.27, and he has a 4% chance of a top-5 finish. His GPP% is 24%.
  • Onyeka Okongwu (C, ATL): Okongwu, with a salary of $6400, is projected for 30.53 minutes. His median projection is 36.11, and he has a 4% chance of a top-5 finish. His GPP% is 21%.

High Owned Data Breakdown

  • Payton Pritchard (PG/SG, BOS): At a salary of $5500, Pritchard is projected for 30.79 minutes. His median projection is 34.26, and he has a 3% chance of a top-5 finish. His GPP% is high at 33.72%, with a 33.72% Own%.
  • Cole Anthony (PG/SG, ORL): Anthony, with a $5000 salary, is projected for 25.36 minutes. His median projection is 25.59, and his GPP% is 6%.
  • Aaron Nesmith (SG/SF, IND): Nesmith, priced at $4800, is projected for 27.73 minutes. His median projection is 22.08, and his GPP% is very low at 1%.
  • Quentin Grimes (PG/SG, PHI): Grimes has a salary of $6100 and is projected for 36.09 minutes. His median projection is 35.27, and he has a 4% chance of a top-5 finish. His GPP% is 24%.
  • Jared Butler (PG/SG, PHI): Butler, with a very low salary of $3500, is projected for 19.82 minutes. His median projection is 26.88, and he has a 1% chance of a top-10 finish. His GPP% is 41%

NBA DFS Summary Table

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