Welcome to the NBA DFS Triple Threat here at Paydirt! This is going to be a daily article aimed at giving thoughts on three important aspects of the NBA DFS slate. We will talk through the most popular players on the slate, popular roster construction, and potential pivots and leverage spots. This article is best used with the projections models here at Paydirt (Found here), but it will still be valuable even as a one off piece of content. While the focus is on Draftkings, the content is applicable to Fanduel as well. Costs, Projections, and finishing percentiles format will be Draftkings/Fanduel.
Main Points
- The highest-owned players for tonight’s games are projected to be Jaden Hardy, Kyrie Irving, Josh Green, Kevin Durant, and Derrick Jones Jr.. Notably, Luka and Devin Booker are both out which leaves an absurd amount of usage to go around to the remaining teammates.
- A popular roster construction tonight will likely include 4 value players under $5k complemented by 2 mid-range players and 2 stars. Ownership on the high end is concentrating on Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving. Based on this, Tyrese Maxey looks like a strong GPP option at a third of Kyrie’s ownership.
- Players such as Jalen Brunson, CJ McCollum, and Pascal Siakam are intriguing GPP plays. Additionally, value plays like Sam Hauser, Gary Trent Jr., and Payton Pritchard look like potential pivot opportunities.
Depending on the size of the slate, there may be multiple situations, value plays, and popular options that you need to consider. Join the Paydirt discord with this link for more updates and game theory on all the slates details: https://discord.gg/mQ6u5dfawF
NBA DFS Cash Game Core:
This core of players will help you build a strong foundation in cash games. While it is best to use all these players, it’s not a requirement
Jaden Hardy
Kyrie Irving
Josh Green
Kevin Durant
Derrick Rose
NBA DFS GPP Core:
This core of players will help you build in differentiation in your lineups. These players are meant to be mixed in with some of the stronger chalk options. How many of these players you put in is dependent on the size of the field and personal risk tolerance.
Sam Hauser (Value)
Julian Champagnie (Value)
Franz Wagner (Midrange)
Jalen Brunson (Stud)
Tryese Maxey* (Premium)
NBA DFS Final Thoughts
The popular build tonight is going to be 3 Mavs, 1 Grizzly, and at least 1 Sun. However, even with this being popular you can still find ways to get different. For example, playing Seth Curry, David Roddy, and Grayson Allen over some of their more popular teammates. Alternatively, you can opt to play similarly priced value on other teams such as the Celtics, or focus on the player from MEM/DAL/PHX with the most secure roles and minutes. The Paydirt models are heavy on DAL/PHX as spots to target with secondary exposure to NYK/ORL. Good luck and let’s bake some bread!
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