Welcome to the NBA DFS Triple Threat here at Paydirt! This is going to be a daily article aimed at giving thoughts on three important aspects of the NBA DFS slate. We will talk through the most popular players on the slate, popular roster construction, and potential pivots and leverage spots. This article is best used with the projections models here at Paydirt (Found here), but it will still be valuable even as a one off piece of content. While the focus is on Draftkings, the content is applicable to Fanduel as well. Costs, Projections, and finishing percentiles format will be Draftkings/Fanduel.
Main Points
- The highest-owned players for tonight’s games are projected to be Jordan Nwora, Bruce Brown, Payon Pritchard, Derrick White, and Anthony Davis. Notably, TOR is ravaged by injury with virtually every starter out. Additionally, Jayson Tatum was ruled out late along with Al Horford for the Celtics.
- A popular roster construction tonight will likely include 3 value players complemented by 3 mid-range players and 2 stars. Ownership on the high end is concentrated on Anthony Davis and Shai Glizzy. Based on this, spending up on LeBron or Wembanyama seems like a good option on the high end.
- Players such as Rudy Gobert, Anfernee Simons, and Chet Holmgren are intriguing GPP plays. Additionally, value plays such as TJ McConnell, Jontay Porter, and Sam Merrill look like potential pivot opportunities.
Depending on the size of the slate, there may be multiple situations, value plays, and popular options that you need to consider. Join the Paydirt discord with this link for more updates and game theory on all the slates details: https://discord.gg/mQ6u5dfawF
NBA DFS Cash Game Core:
This core of players will help you build a strong foundation in cash games. While it is best to use all these players, it’s not a requirement
Payton Pritchard
Derrick White
Bruce Brown
Jordan Nwora
Anthony Davis
NBA DFS GPP Core:
This core of players will help you build in differentiation in your lineups. These players are meant to be mixed in with some of the stronger chalk options. How many of these players you put in is dependent on the size of the field and personal risk tolerance.
TJ McConnell (Value)
Trayce Jackson-Davis (Midrange)
Dalano Banton (Midrange)
Chet Holmgren (Midrange)
LeBron (Stud)
NBA DFS Final Thoughts
The popular build tonight is going to be focused on a core of Raptors value with Payton Pritchard and Anthony Davis. Thankfully, this makes it easy to get different tonight. One option is to simply fade chalk Raptors as many of them are middling to poor fantasy point-per-minute producers which caps their ceiling. Additionally, you can leverage these chalk teams by playing lesser-owned options like Jaylen Brown, Sam Hauser, or LeBron. The Paydirt models are heavy on TOR/MEM/IND as spots to target with secondary exposure to the Celtics and Thunder. Good luck and let’s bake some bread!
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