NHL DFS Slate Analysis
This is an algorithmically generated breakdown of the NHL DFS main slate using the models found at Paydirt. You’ll get high level information about the most valuable players on the slate along with a handy table to use for your own lineups. For more projections and model data check out the NHL DFS Range of Outcomes and the NHL Contest Simulations.
Ceiling Data Breakdown
- PIT FL1 (Sidney Crosby, Rickard Rakell, Bryan Rust): This line has a ceiling of 76.76 with a salary of $18900. They also have a 27.9% chance of finishing with the highest fantasy score and are projected to be 32.31% owned.
- WAS FL1 (Alex Ovechkin, Dylan Strome, Aliaksei Protas): This line is projected for a ceiling of 70.5 and is priced at $17800. Their top finish probability is 16.8%, with a projected ownership of 27.29%.
- WPG FL1 (Mark Scheifele, Kyle Connor, Gabriel Vilardi): This line has a ceiling of 67.08 and a salary of $20500. They have an 11% chance of finishing with the highest fantasy score and are projected to be 19.51% owned.
- VEG FL1 (Tanner Pearson, Jack Eichel, Mark Stone): This line has a salary of $17800 and a ceiling of 63.7. They have a 9.2% chance to be the top line and a projected ownership of 23.3%.
- VEG FL2 (Tomas Hertl, Brandon Saad, Pavel Dorofeyev): With a salary of $16200, this line has a ceiling of 60.14. They have a 5.9% chance of a top finish and a projected ownership of 21.27%
Value Data Breakdown
- Tommy Novak (C, PIT): With a salary of only $2500, Novak has a median projection of 8.56 and a ceiling of 17.12. His low salary combined with a high 2x% (81.7%) suggests he could exceed value expectations, and his projected ownership is 17.92%.
- Ethen Frank (W, WAS): At a salary of $2600, Frank is projected for a median of 7.65 and a ceiling of 15.3. His 2x% is 70.6%, indicating a good chance of achieving double his salary in fantasy points, while his projected ownership is 6.91%.
- Carter Mazur (W, DET): Also priced at $2500, Mazur has a median projection of 6.84 and a ceiling of 13.68. His 2x% is 65.3%, and his projected ownership is 5.38%.
- Elmer Soderblom (W, DET): With a salary of $2700, Soderblom is projected to have a median of 6.95 and a ceiling of 13.9. He has a 2x% of 58.2% and projected ownership of 5.1%.
- Ethan Del Mastro (D, CHI): Priced at $2500, Del Mastro has a median projection of 6.11 and a ceiling of 12.22. His 2x% is 53.3%, with a projected ownership of 6.81%
High Owned Data Breakdown
- PIT FL1 (Sidney Crosby, Rickard Rakell, Bryan Rust): This line has a salary of $18900 with a median projection of 38.38 fantasy points and a ceiling of 76.76. They have a 27.9% chance of finishing with the highest fantasy score and are projected to be 32.31% owned.
- WAS FL1 (Alex Ovechkin, Dylan Strome, Aliaksei Protas): Priced at $17800, this line is projected for a median of 35.25 and a ceiling of 70.5. Their top finish probability is 16.8%, with a projected ownership of 27.29%.
- VEG FL1 (Tanner Pearson, Jack Eichel, Mark Stone): This line shares the same salary as WAS FL1 at $17800 and has a median projection of 31.85 and a ceiling of 63.7. They have a 9.2% chance to be the top line and a projected ownership of 23.3%.
- DET FL1 (Dylan Larkin, Lucas Raymond, Marco Kasper): With a salary of $17800, this line has a median projection of 29.5 and a ceiling of 59. Their probability of a top finish is 5.5%, and they are projected to be 20.24% owned.
- STL FL2 (Brayden Schenn, Jordan Kyrou, Dylan Holloway): This line is less expensive, with a salary of $15300, and has a median projection of 28.06 and a ceiling of 56.12. They have a 3% chance of a top finish and a projected ownership of 16.86%
NHL DFS Summary Table
