NHL DFS Slate Analysis
This is an algorithmically generated breakdown of the NHL DFS main slate using the models found at Paydirt. You’ll get high level information about the most valuable players on the slate along with a handy table to use for your own lineups. For more projections and model data check out the NHL DFS Range of Outcomes and the NHL Contest Simulations.
Ceiling Data Breakdown
- TOR FL1 (Auston Matthews, Mitchell Marner, Matthew Knies): This line has a salary of $22800, with a median projection of 34.07 fantasy points and a ceiling of 68.14. Their “Top_finish” is 20.2%, and projected ownership is 22.57.
- WAS FL1 (Alex Ovechkin, Dylan Strome, Aliaksei Protas): Priced at $16600, this line is projected for a median of 31.84 and a ceiling of 63.68. They have a higher projected ownership at 31.06, with a “Top_finish” of 12.8%.
- OTT FL1 (Claude Giroux, Brady Tkachuk, Tim Stutzle): This line, costing $21800, is expected to have a median of 31.75 and a ceiling of 63.5. Their projected ownership is 27.02, and they have a “Top_finish” of 13.5%.
- TOR FL2 (John Tavares, William Nylander, Pontus Holmberg): With a salary of $18100, this line’s median projection is 30, and the ceiling is 60. Their projected ownership is 16.91, with a “Top_finish” of 8.2%.
- ANA FL1 (Frank Vatrano, Ryan Strome, Troy Terry): This line has a salary of $18200, with a median projection of 29.97 fantasy points and a ceiling of 59.94. Their “Top_finish” is 8.6%, and projected ownership is 17.95
Value Data Breakdown
- Jonathan Lekkerimaki (W, VAN): With a salary of $2500, Lekkerimaki has a median projection of 8.4 and a ceiling of 16.8. His projected ownership is 11.58, with a 2x% of 79.6%, a 3x% of 50.4%, and a 4x% of 17.4%.
- Raphael Lavoie (W, VEG): Priced at $2500, Lavoie is projected for a median of 7.57 and a ceiling of 15.14. He has a projected ownership of 5.72, with a 2x% of 73.6%, a 3x% of 34.4%, and a 4x% of 8%.
- Brett Berard (W, NYR): Costing $2500, Berard has a median projection of 6.57 and a ceiling of 13.14. His projected ownership is 4.70, with a 2x% of 59.2%, a 3x% of 19.2%, and a 4x% of 1.6%.
- Sam Colangelo (W, ANA): At a salary of $3200, Colangelo is expected to have a median of 8.17 and a ceiling of 16.34. His projected ownership is 4.98, with a 2x% of 61%, a 3x% of 19%, and a 4x% of 1.8%.
- Ethen Frank (W, WAS): With a salary of $2800, Frank has a median projection of 7.03 and a ceiling of 14.06. His projected ownership is 4.58, with a 2x% of 56.4%, a 3x% of 15%, and a 4x% of 1.3%.
High Owned Data Breakdown
- WAS FL1 (Alex Ovechkin, Dylan Strome, Aliaksei Protas): This line has a salary of $16600, with a median projection of 31.84 fantasy points and a ceiling of 63.68. Their “Top_finish” is 12.8%, and projected ownership is 31.06%.
- VEG FL1 (Tanner Pearson, Jack Eichel, Mark Stone): Priced at $16500, this line is projected for a median of 28.25 and a ceiling of 56.5. They have a higher projected ownership at 28.92%, with a “Top_finish” of 6.3%.
- OTT FL1 (Claude Giroux, Brady Tkachuk, Tim Stutzle): This line, costing $21800, is expected to have a median of 31.75 and a ceiling of 63.5. Their projected ownership is 27.02%, and they have a “Top_finish” of 13.5%.
- VAN FL2 (Filip Chytil, Drew O’Connor, Jonathan Lekkerimaki): With a salary of $12100, this line’s median projection is 22.47, and the ceiling is 44.94. Their projected ownership is 23.29%, with a “Top_finish” of less than 1%.
- NYR FL1 (Vincent Trocheck, Artemi Panarin, Alexis Lafreniere): This line has a salary of $17300, with a median projection of 28.35 fantasy points and a ceiling of 56.7. Their “Top_finish” is 6.3%, and projected ownership is 23.09%

