Scoring Percentages and Stacking
STL
- Avg Score: 6.72
- 8+ runs: 37.80%
- Opp SP: Wade Miley
- DK Team Own%: 32.33
- DK LevX: 18.50%
- FD Team Own%: 24.64
- FD LevX: 18.50%
CWS
- Avg Score: 6.69
- 8+ runs: 37.60%
- Opp SP: Shane Bieber
- DK Team Own%: 15.18
- DK LevX: 23.00%
- FD Team Own%: 17.6
- FD LevX: 25.00%
ARI
- Avg Score: 6.58
- 8+ runs: 36.20%
- Opp SP: Kyle Muller
- DK Team Own%: 72.7
- DK LevX: -1.00%
- FD Team Own%: 43.28
- FD LevX: 3.50%
TEX
- Avg Score: 6.11
- 8+ runs: 32.80%
- Opp SP: Jared Shuster
- DK Team Own%: 10.92
- DK LevX: 25.00%
- FD Team Own%: 17.06
- FD LevX: 23.00%
OAK
- Avg Score: 6.18
- 8+ runs: 32.40%
- Opp SP: Tommy Henry
- DK Team Own%: 31.07
- DK LevX: 5.50%
- FD Team Own%: 22.55
- FD LevX: 16.50%
Based on these statistics, these teams are strong contenders to stack in DFS due to their high 8+ runs percentages, indicating that they consistently score high. This scoring trend coupled with their solid average scores demonstrates a high offensive prowess. Notably, the STL and CWS teams stand out with high ownership percentages on both DK and FD platforms, suggesting that they are popular choices among users. TEX, despite having a low DK Team Own%, boasts high LevX scores on both platforms, indicating a valuable bet due to its low popularity but high potential. ARI, though having a negative LevX on the DK platform, shows a good LevX score on FD, suggesting it might be a more favorable choice there. OAK presents a balanced profile with modest LevX scores and a solid scoring record, making it a reliable stacking option.
However, one should be cautious when considering teams with negative LevX scores, such as ARI on the DK platform, as this suggests the team might not perform as well as expected given their popularity.
DK Pitcher Options
Kevin Gausman
- Team: TOR
- Salary: 10700
- Top_finish: 34.70%
- Top_5_finish: 70.00%
- Large Field Own%: 17.10%, Difference from average: -6.27%
- Small Field Own%: 25.91%, Difference from average: +2.54%
Luis Castillo
- Team: SEA
- Salary: 10000
- Top_finish: 18.40%
- Top_5_finish: 59.00%
- Large Field Own%: 1.74%, Difference from average: -21.63%
- Small Field Own%: 1.74%, Difference from average: -21.63%
Seth Lugo
- Team: SD
- Salary: 8000
- Top_finish: 15.50%
- Top_5_finish: 54.80%
- Large Field Own%: 10.87%, Difference from average: -12.5%
- Small Field Own%: 13.44%, Difference from average: -10.04%
Lance Lynn
- Team: CWS
- Salary: 7100
- Top_finish: 12.20%
- Top_5_finish: 46.40%
- Large Field Own%: 2.58%, Difference from average: -20.79%
- Small Field Own%: 2.58%, Difference from average: -20.79%
Cristian Javier
- Team: HOU
- Salary: 9600
- Top_finish: 5.80%
- Top_5_finish: 36.40%
- Large Field Own%: 48.47%, Difference from average: +25.10%
- Small Field Own%: 75.00%, Difference from average: +51.63%
Based on the statistics provided, Kevin Gausman, Luis Castillo, Seth Lugo, Lance Lynn, and Cristian Javier are good bets to perform well. Their median scores are among the highest, indicating consistent performances. Their top finishes are also impressive, with Gausman having the highest at 34.70%, indicating he often ends up in the top tier of players.
The ownership percentages in large fields are varied. Gausman and Javier have above-average percentages, suggesting they are popular picks among large groups of players. On the other hand, Castillo, Lugo, and Lynn have significantly lower percentages, indicating they might be undervalued or overlooked, potentially offering a competitive edge in large tournaments.
In small fields, Gausman and Javier once again stand out with high ownership percentages, indicating they are favored among more selective players. Castillo, Lugo, and Lynn have low percentages, suggesting they might be strategic picks in smaller, more competitive fields.
The outlier here is Cristian Javier, who has the highest Small Field Own% at 75.00% and a Large Field Own% of 48.47%, significantly above average. Despite his lower top finish and top 5 finish percentages compared to the others, he seems to be a popular choice among both large and small field players. His high ownership rates suggest a strong confidence in his abilities among the player base.
FD Pitcher Options
Kevin Gausman
- Team: Toronto Blue Jays
- Salary: $11,000
- Top finish percentage: 31.70%
- Top 5 finish percentage: 78.60%
- Large Field Own%: 6.08%; this is -1.03% compared to the average Large Field Own% of the dataset.
- Small Field Own%: 7.86%; this is +1.21% compared to the average Small Field Own% of the dataset.
Luis Castillo
- Team: Seattle Mariners
- Salary: $10,200
- Top finish percentage: 22.20%
- Top 5 finish percentage: 70.00%
- Large Field Own%: 1.37%; this is -5.74% compared to the average Large Field Own% of the dataset.
- Small Field Own%: 1.37%; this is -4.28% compared to the average Small Field Own% of the dataset.
Seth Lugo
- Team: San Diego Padres
- Salary: $9,000
- Top finish percentage: 18.20%
- Top 5 finish percentage: 68.00%
- Large Field Own%: 4.33%; this is -2.78% compared to the average Large Field Own% of the dataset.
- Small Field Own%: 4.36%; this is -1.29% compared to the average Small Field Own% of the dataset.
Lance Lynn
- Team: Chicago White Sox
- Salary: $7,500
- Top finish percentage: 16.00%
- Top 5 finish percentage: 60.60%
- Large Field Own%: 0.58%; this is -6.53% compared to the average Large Field Own% of the dataset.
- Small Field Own%: 0.58%; this is -5.07% compared to the average Small Field Own% of the dataset.
Cristian Javier
- Team: Houston Astros
- Salary: $10,000
- Top finish percentage: 3.90%
- Top 5 finish percentage: 38.50%
- Large Field Own%: 23.88%; this is +16.77% compared to the average Large Field Own% of the dataset.
- Small Field Own%: 43.47%; this is +36.82% compared to the average Small Field Own% of the dataset.
These players are good bets to perform well due to their high Median scores, indicating their consistent ability to meet or exceed tournament expectations. Additionally, their high top and top 5 finish percentages signify that they frequently rank among the top performers, adding to their potential value. Cristian Javier is a notable outlier, with a Small Field Own% and Large Field Own% significantly higher than the dataset averages, indicating that he is a popular choice among both types of fields, despite a lower top finish percentage compared to the other top performers.
True AVG breakdown
The top 5 players with the lowest (Best) Weighted True AVG scores are:
Kevin Gausman (Toronto Blue Jays)
- Kevin Gausman has a significant difference in his True AVG between Left-Handed Hitters (LHH) and Right-Handed Hitters (RHH) with 0.168 and 0.212 respectively. This suggests he performs better against LHH.
- His Weighted True AVG score is 0.202, which is quite low, suggesting better performance.
- He will be facing 2 LHH and 7 RHH from the opposing team, which might be beneficial considering his lower True AVG for LHH.
Luis Castillo (Seattle Mariners)
- Luis Castillo also shows a notable difference in True AVG for LHH and RHH with 0.191 and 0.242 respectively, meaning he performs better against LHH.
- His Weighted True AVG score is 0.202, again indicating a superior performance.
- He will be facing 7 LHH and 2 RHH, which might be advantageous given his lower True AVG for LHH.
Lance Lynn (Chicago White Sox)
- Lance Lynn has a True AVG of 0.177 for LHH and 0.255 for RHH, showing a significant advantage when facing LHH.
- With a Weighted True AVG score of 0.212, his performance is better than average.
- He will be facing 5 LHH and 4 RHH, which could be beneficial due to his notably lower True AVG for LHH.
Brady Singer (Kansas City Royals)
- Brady Singer displays a significant difference in his True AVG with 0.194 for LHH and 0.296 for RHH, indicating a strong performance when facing LHH.
- His Weighted True AVG score is 0.228, which is lower than average, suggesting better performance.
- Singer will be facing 6 LHH and 3 RHH, which is good considering his low True AVG for LHH.
Jordan Montgomery (St. Louis Cardinals)
- Jordan Montgomery has a True AVG of 0.267 for LHH and 0.255 for RHH, suggesting a balanced performance against both.
- His Weighted True AVG score is 0.228, which is also below average, indicating a good performance.
- He will be facing 1 LHH and 7 RHH, but his balanced True AVG might not pose significant problems.
These pitchers, with their low Weighted True AVG scores and the number of LHH and RHH they will be facing, are likely to perform well. Their performance is better than average, and their True AVG scores indicate they perform particularly well against either LHH or RHH. The matchups they will be facing favor their strengths, which will likely result in a better performance.
The top 5 players with the highest (Worst) Weighted True AVG scores are:
Yonny Chirinos (Tampa Bay Rays)
- Yonny Chirinos has a significant difference in his True AVG between Left-Handed Hitters (LHH) and Right-Handed Hitters (RHH) with 0.311 and 0.260 respectively. This indicates a weakness against LHH.
- His Weighted True AVG score is 0.283 which is relatively high, indicating poorer performance.
- He will be facing 4 LHH and 5 RHH from the opposing team, which could be a challenge considering his high True AVG for LHH.
Tommy Henry (Arizona Diamondbacks)
- Tommy Henry also shows a notable difference in True AVG for LHH and RHH with 0.257 and 0.281 respectively, meaning he struggles more against RHH.
- His Weighted True AVG score is 0.281, again indicating a poorer performance.
- He will be facing 0 LHH and 9 RHH, which might be problematic given his high True AVG for RHH.
Jalen Beeks (Tampa Bay Rays)
- Jalen Beeks has a True AVG of 0.275 for LHH and 0.282 for RHH, showing a slight weakness against RHH.
- With a Weighted True AVG score of 0.279, his performance is less than ideal.
- He will be facing 3 LHH and 6 RHH, which could be disadvantageous given his slightly higher True AVG for RHH.
Shane Bieber (Cleveland Indians)
- Shane Bieber displays a significant difference in his True AVG with 0.295 for LHH and 0.261 for RHH, indicating a difficulty when facing LHH.
- His Weighted True AVG score is 0.276, which is higher than average.
- Bieber will be facing 4 LHH and 5 RHH, posing a challenge due to his high True AVG for LHH.
Kyle Muller (Oakland Athletics)
- Kyle Muller has a True AVG of 0.311 for LHH and 0.265 for RHH, suggesting a clear struggle against LHH.
- His Weighted True AVG score is 0.275, which is also above average.
- He will be facing 2 LHH and 7 RHH, but his high True AVG for LHH could pose problems.
Based on their Weighted True AVG scores and the number of LHH and RHH they will be facing, these pitchers are likely to perform poorly. Their performance is lower than average, and their True AVG scores indicate they have particular weaknesses against either LHH or RHH. The matchups they will be facing do not favor their strengths, which will likely result in a poorer performance.